I’m not big on buying futures, I like breaking down daily matchups. However, I always play futures in tennis Grand Slams. I love to find value. I love to bet against equity. In Grand Slams, due to huge fields, past data, and predetermined draws we can find value. I’m not a tennis expert, I leave that to writers on this site like Calderooonn. But I do love to try to find some value. With Wimbledon beginning tomorrow, here’s what I think of the top four seeds and a few value plays.

TOP SEEDS
#1 DJOKOVIC (-121): NO VALUE. Djokovic is a very deserving heavy favorite seeing as he’s the best player in the world. This is a tough draw for him with matchups against Querry, Kohlschreiber, and Anderson or Raonic all lurking prior to the semifinals. You will be able to get him at not much worse than this (as a future) prior to the semis.

#2 MURRAY (+330): SOME VALUE. This is another line that won’t change too much through the first five rounds of the tournament. By far the easiest path to the semis of the top four seeds.

#3 FEDERER (+1500): VALUE. Monfils and Cilic may be the toughest matches he’ll face prior to the semis. Nishikori (#5 seed) is on the other side of his bracket, and has lost in the first round on three separate occasions, and never made it past the QF. If he makes it to the semis, 15-1 gives you room to hedge in a matchup vs Djokovic.

#4...


AGREE 638 DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Los Angeles Clippers (-2.5) at Portland Trail Blazers (+2.5) over +209.5

Game time: Thursday 10/27,10:35 PM

Los Angeles Clippers 114 FINAL
Portland Trail Blazers 106  view game

$50.00 PARLAY @+224.14 WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $162.07


Los Angeles Clippers moneyline (-135.0) WIN WIN WIN

Pick documented: Thursday, 27 Oct 2016 6:56 PM

Chicago Bulls moneyline (-116.0) WIN WIN WIN

Pick documented: Thursday, 27 Oct 2016 6:56 PM

PARLAY locked in 11 months ago




AGREE 30.7K DISAGREE



Fire
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Sacramento Kings (+3.0) at Phoenix Suns (-3.0) over +211.5

Game time: Wednesday 10/26,10:05 PM

Sacramento Kings 113 FINAL
Phoenix Suns 94  view game

Sacramento Kings (+2.5) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $390.48

$200.00 Pick documented: Wednesday, 26 Oct 2016 2:59 AM

pick locked in 11 months ago

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Pick

SAC 107 PHX 103

Cousins 27p/11r
Gay 14p/5r

Bledsoe 20p/6a
Warren 12p/4r




AGREE 31.5K DISAGREE



Fire
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Denver Nuggets (+1.5) at New Orleans Pelicans (-1.5) over +207.0

Game time: Wednesday 10/26, 8:05 PM

Denver Nuggets 107 FINAL
New Orleans Pelicans 102  view game

New Orleans Pelicans (-2.5) L

$200.00 Pick documented: Wednesday, 26 Oct 2016 2:53 AM

pick locked in 11 months ago

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Pick

NO 110 DEN 102

Davis 25p/10r
Holliday 17p/6a
Evans 16p/7a

Gallinari 20p/6r
Mudiay 13p/6a




AGREE 25.6K DISAGREE



Fire
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Houston Rockets (-6.0) at Los Angeles Lakers (+6.0) over +223.5

Game time: Wednesday 10/26,10:35 PM

Houston Rockets 114 FINAL
Los Angeles Lakers 120  view game

Houston Rockets (-6.5) L

$200.00 Pick documented: Wednesday, 26 Oct 2016 1:13 AM

pick locked in 11 months ago

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers Pick

HOU 106 LAL 83

Harden 30p/8a/6r
Anderson 18p/6r
Capela 10p/9r

Williams 17p
Russel 15p
Randle 11p/10r




AGREE 25.4K DISAGREE



Fire
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San Antonio Spurs (+8.0) at Golden State Warriors (-8.0) over +211.5

Game time: Tuesday 10/25,10:35 PM

San Antonio Spurs 129 FINAL
Golden State Warriors 100  view game

Golden State Warriors (-8.5) L

$100.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 25 Oct 2016 7:23 PM

pick locked in 11 months ago

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Pick

GSW 128
SAS 114
Curry 30/7
Durant 27/8/5
Kawhi 21/7
Gasol 15/10




AGREE 22.5K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Utah Jazz (+6.0) at Portland Trail Blazers (-6.0) over +192.0

Game time: Tuesday 10/25,10:05 PM

Utah Jazz 104 FINAL
Portland Trail Blazers 113  view game

Portland Trail Blazers (-6.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $195.24

$100.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 25 Oct 2016 7:19 PM

pick locked in 11 months ago

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers Pick

POR 105
UTAH 92
Lillard 24
McCollum 19
Favors 16/8
Johnson 11




I live in Texas, but commute to and from Las Vegas on a regular basis. I spend the majority of baseball season there, but tend to break it up into sections to spend some time at home. I made the drive last week. 21 hours split up over two days. When I was about three hours from home I hit construction. Then more construction. Then a funeral procession, followed by more construction, followed by a SECOND FUNERAL PROCESSION! You know that feeling, you’re almost home and you feel like you’ll never make it. Frustration sets in to the point that you’re cursing out a funeral procession. I have a feeling the Mariners know exactly how I was feeling.

April and May were great for the M’s. Then their summer road trips began. June started with splitting the away set of their home-at-home with the Padres, then immediately dropping three in a row in Arlington to Texas. After a couple home series versus the Indians and Rangers the real road trip began, and it hasn’t ended yet. They lost two of three at Tampa Bay, and two of three at Boston. Despite a couple favorable pitching matchups, so far they’re 0-3 in Detroit. They can’t get home soon enough. Detroit should’ve been the three-hour mark, but they ended up the construction zone.

Every MLB team will have a three-series, cross-country road trip. Every single one. The Washington...


AGREE 26.7K DISAGREE



Fire
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New York Knicks (+9.5) at Cleveland Cavaliers (-9.5) over +206.0

Game time: Tuesday 10/25, 7:30 PM

New York Knicks 88 FINAL
Cleveland Cavaliers 117  view game

Cleveland Cavaliers (-9.5) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $198.04

$100.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 25 Oct 2016 7:16 PM

pick locked in 11 months ago

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers Pick

CLE 112 NYK 98
Lebron 26/8/6
Kyrie 22/6
Melo 22/8
Porz 15/8




AGREE 644 DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Texas A&M (+1.0) at Auburn (-1.0) over +55.0

Game time: Saturday 9/17, 7:00 PM

Texas A&M 29 FINAL
Auburn 16  view game

Texas A&M moneyline (+101.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $201.00

$100.00 Pick documented: Saturday, 17 Sep 2016 5:50 PM

pick locked in about 1 year ago




AGREE 10.3K DISAGREE



Fire
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Chicago White Sox (+124.0) at Chicago Cubs (-134.0) over +6.5

Game time: Thursday 7/28, 8:05 PM

Chicago White Sox 1 FINAL
Chicago Cubs 3  view game

$15.00 PARLAY @+852.83 L


Boston Red Sox moneyline (-170.0) L

Pick documented: Thursday, 28 Jul 2016 12:46 AM

Chicago White Sox moneyline (+120.0) L

Pick documented: Thursday, 28 Jul 2016 12:46 AM

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline (-131.0) WIN WIN WIN

Pick documented: Thursday, 28 Jul 2016 12:46 AM

Miami Marlins moneyline (-183.0) L

Pick documented: Thursday, 28 Jul 2016 12:46 AM

PARLAY locked in about 1 year ago

4 Pick Parlay

This parlay is based on where teams are located in my daily PRA computer rankings. This particular parlay hits 14% of the time, on average of every 5.67 days over the first 60 days. Needs to be >+644 to be profitable.

4 Teamer: 9-57 L66




AGREE 8.98K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Chicago White Sox (+124.0) at Chicago Cubs (-134.0) over +6.5

Game time: Thursday 7/28, 8:05 PM

Chicago White Sox 1 FINAL
Chicago Cubs 3  view game

$15.00 PARLAY @+516.14 L


Boston Red Sox moneyline (-170.0) L

Pick documented: Thursday, 28 Jul 2016 12:44 AM

Chicago White Sox moneyline (+120.0) L

Pick documented: Thursday, 28 Jul 2016 12:44 AM

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline (-131.0) WIN WIN WIN

Pick documented: Thursday, 28 Jul 2016 12:44 AM

PARLAY locked in about 1 year ago

3 Pick Parlay

This parlay is based on where teams are located in my daily PRA computer rankings. This particular parlay hits 23% of the time, on average of every 3.21 days over the first 60 days. Needs to be >+347 to be profitable.

3 Teamer: 15-51 L66




AGREE 3.68K DISAGREE



Fire
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Boston Red Sox (-173.0) at LAA Angels (+159.0) over +9.0

Game time: Thursday 7/28,10:05 PM

Boston Red Sox 1 FINAL
LAA Angels 2  view game

$60.00 PARLAY @+180.06 L


Boston Red Sox moneyline (-170.0) L

Pick documented: Thursday, 28 Jul 2016 12:43 AM

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline (-131.0) WIN WIN WIN

Pick documented: Thursday, 28 Jul 2016 12:43 AM

PARLAY locked in about 1 year ago

2 Pick Parlay

My two highest rated games today with a PRA of +3.31 for the Red Sox and +2.12 for the Phillies.

Top 2 PRA parlay: 30-36 L66




Did everyone enjoy the battle of the titans last night? The matchup everyone was waiting for? Kershaw-Strasburg I? No? Strasburg was scratched! Well if you waited until yesterday to watch Game of Thrones then you weren’t as disappointed as us Washington bettors. I won’t spoil it, but it was the best battle scene I’ve ever watched on TV. Snow-Bolton over Kershaw-Petit for sure. And there was definitely more offense in it than there was in the Giants game yesterday (my highest rated game, and a loser). Anyway, here are my Projected Run Advantage plays today:

Top rated matchup: MIAMI MARLINS (-265 / +3.20 PRA) vs ATLANTA BRAVES
No surprise here. The worst team in baseball has a five-game winning streak, but it ends here. Bud Norris (2-7, 4.81) throwing for the Braves against Jose Fernandez (9-3, 2.57). Atlanta may be streaking, but they’re on pace for a -180 run differential on the season, and Fernandez doesn’t lose at home. My highest rated game today at +3.20 Projected Run Advantage for the Marlins. The price maybe scary, but the Runline and parlays are a decent move for the Marlins today.

Bonus 3.00+ PRA matchup: NEW YORK METS (-170 / +3.00 PRA) vs KANSAS CITY ROYALS
I wouldn’t be surprised if many people passed on this matchup. On paper one team just got swept by baseball’s worst club, and now are hosting an American League team for a two-game set. Not to mention that it’s the American League team that beat them in the World...


AGREE 13.9K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Boston Red Sox (-173.0) at LAA Angels (+159.0) over +9.0

Game time: Thursday 7/28,10:05 PM

Boston Red Sox 1 FINAL
LAA Angels 2  view game

Boston Red Sox moneyline (-170.0) L

$400.00 Pick documented: Thursday, 28 Jul 2016 12:41 AM

pick locked in about 1 year ago

Boston Red Sox vs LAA Angels Pick

My highest rated game today with a +3.31 Projected Run Advantage for the Red Sox.

Top PRA daily matchup: 47-19 L66
3.00+ PRA matchups: 31-13 season




AGREE 4.92K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Chicago White Sox (+236.0) at Chicago Cubs (-260.0) over +9.0

Game time: Wednesday 7/27, 8:05 PM

Chicago White Sox 1 FINAL
Chicago Cubs 8  view game

$10.00 PARLAY @+803.11


Chicago Cubs moneyline (-230.0) WIN WIN WIN

Pick documented: Wednesday, 27 Jul 2016 3:17 AM

Texas Rangers moneyline (-157.0) L

Pick documented: Wednesday, 27 Jul 2016 3:17 AM

San Francisco Giants moneyline (-230.0) L

Pick documented: Wednesday, 27 Jul 2016 3:17 AM

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline (+168.0) WIN WIN WIN

Pick documented: Wednesday, 27 Jul 2016 3:17 AM

PARLAY locked in about 1 year ago

4 Pick Parlay

This parlay is based on where teams are located in my daily PRA computer rankings. This particular parlay hits 14% of the time, on average of every 5.67 days over the first 60 days. Needs to be >+633 to be profitable.

4 Teamer: 9-56 L65




AGREE 4.77K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Chicago White Sox (+236.0) at Chicago Cubs (-260.0) over +9.0

Game time: Wednesday 7/27, 8:05 PM

Chicago White Sox 1 FINAL
Chicago Cubs 8  view game

$10.00 PARLAY @+451.71


San Francisco Giants moneyline (-230.0) L

Pick documented: Wednesday, 27 Jul 2016 3:15 AM

Chicago Cubs moneyline (-230.0) WIN WIN WIN

Pick documented: Wednesday, 27 Jul 2016 3:15 AM

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline (+168.0) WIN WIN WIN

Pick documented: Wednesday, 27 Jul 2016 3:15 AM

PARLAY locked in about 1 year ago

3 Pick Parlay

This parlay is based on where teams are located in my daily PRA computer rankings. This particular parlay hits 23% of the time, on average of every 3.21 days over the first 60 days. Needs to be >+340 to be profitable.

3 Teamer: 15-50 L65




AGREE 4.33K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Cincinnati Reds (+208.0) at San Francisco Giants (-228.0) over +7.0

Game time: Wednesday 7/27, 3:45 PM

Cincinnati Reds 2 FINAL
San Francisco Giants 1  view game

$50.00 PARLAY @+105.86


San Francisco Giants moneyline (-230.0) L

Pick documented: Wednesday, 27 Jul 2016 3:14 AM

Chicago Cubs moneyline (-230.0) WIN WIN WIN

Pick documented: Wednesday, 27 Jul 2016 3:14 AM

PARLAY locked in about 1 year ago

2 Pick Parlay

My two highest rated games today with a PRA of +3.34 for the Giants and +2.57 for the Cubs.

Top 2 PRA parlay: 30-35 L65




You can easily get too far ahead of yourself when handicapping games. Personally, I never bet futures before a season has started. I don't have the information that I need yet. However, I always tend to look at what is coming down the pike in the upcoming week. I don't outright handicap the games that far out, but it does give me a sense of some things to watch for, and maybe what to watch instead.

The first thing that pops out to me is the Phillies schedule. Fresh off a weekend road trip to Washington, they have a four-game home-at-home vs Toronto, then a trip out west to Arizona. That's ten consecutive games, with four flights, and Stroman, Estrada, and Grienke this week. That's a tough stretch for a young team.

On the flipside of the Phillies are the Astros. A quick trip to St Louis, where they will face off against Wainwright (whose low K rate and high fly ball rate plays poorly versus a team like Houston) in half of that two gamer, then a three-game weekend series hosting Cincinnati. Astros could easily go 4-1 this week.

When glancing over the week I tend to look at possible parlay teams. We all do this. "I'll parlay all my picks with the Cubs hosting the Braves." I don't necessarily place these parlays, I just like to know where the 60% teams are playing the...


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