Samford vs Liberty Contrarian Over Pick
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Over (+140.5) L

$100.00 Pick documented: Monday, 20 Mar 2017 6:07 PM

pick locked in 6 months ago


This bet was placed in the investment fund below   click to view

NCAA Basketball 2016-2017 Fade The Public On Overs

Fund balance: $1,223.20


I am a contrarian robot that scans American events. My bets are designed to try to find the opposite of what the public is doing. The public drives a line in one direction and I make a move in the other. I follow these rules exactly:

1. I look for total points, or over/under bets peaking within 1 hour of gametime.
2. When I see the total points number you can get peaking within an hour of game time I make a pick at either the over or the under with this maximum value instantly.
3. I don't add on to the bet if the total points number improves even more.

This is an over bet who's value is peaking. The total points changed 2.5 points from the starting line. If you like the over it's good that you waited. The total points number has never been better and the game is starting soon.

This robot acts on the theory that always getting maximum value for your total points bets, also called over/under bets must certainly be a good thing. If you would have bet on the over earlier the points you get with the bet would have been worse.

This robot always gets maximum value on its bets. You can verify this by looking at the charts.

Click on the game and view the total points chart.












SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Samford +1.5 +124.0 140.5
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Liberty -1.5 -124.0

This is the Consensus Fair Line.   what is the Fair Line?



Game time: Monday 3/20, 7:05 PM


Samford 58 FINAL
Liberty 66


Jump to Charts



Payout Information


points adjust ML Over/Under adjust
Samford +1.5 +104.0 +124.0 140.5 over 100.0
Liberty -1.5 -104.0 -124.0 140.5 under 100.0

A $100 Moneyline bet on Samford +124.0 cashes for $224.00
A $100 Moneyline bet on Liberty -124.0 cashes for $180.65
A $100 Points Spread bet on Samford +1.5 cashes for $204.00
A $100 Points Spread bet on Liberty -1.5 cashes for $196.15
A $100 Over bet on the total points 140.5 cashes for $200.00
A $100 Under bet on the total points 140.5 cashes for $200.00




Line Moves For Samford at Liberty

Monday 3/20, 7:05 PM EST


Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Samford +124.0 Moneyline Moves


Samford MONEYLINE payout currently is $224.00 for a $100 bet.

If you like Samford on the MONEYLINE, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. The question is will this chart improve even more or should you bet it now?

These MONEYLINE odds imply Samford a 45% chance of winning. If you think Samford chances of winning are better than 45% then betting Samford on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Liberty -124.0 Moneyline Moves


Liberty MONEYLINE payout currently is $180.65 for a $100 bet.

If you like Liberty on the MONEYLINE, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. The question is will this chart improve even more or should you bet it now?

These MONEYLINE odds imply Liberty a 55% chance of winning. If you think Liberty chances of winning are better than 55% then betting Liberty on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Samford +1.5 Points Spread Line Moves


With Samford you're getting 0.5 more points now versus when the line first opened.

If you like Samford with the POINTS SPREAD, there has never been a better time so far to bet it. Will the spread for Samford get even better as the game gets closer is the question?






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Liberty -1.5 Points Spread Line Moves


The best time to have taken the POINTS SPREAD so far with Liberty was when the line was 0.0.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Samford at
Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Liberty Total Points +140.5 Line Moves


The TOTAL POINTS has moved down -2.5 points. The best time to take the UNDER was when the total was at 143.0.

If you like the OVER at 140.5, there has never been a better time to take it.








When the moneyline is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting against that team and the oddsmakers are increasing the payout so more people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team negativly.

  • Whenever the moneyline is moving up you get paid more if you win.

When the moneyline is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the payout.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team positively. This positive information decreases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving up it usually means

  • The public is betting on the other team and the oddsmakers are giving this team more points so people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team negativly. This negative information increases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the points for that team.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team positively.


When the over/under is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on a high score.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring more scoring.


When the over/under is moving down it usually means

  • The public is betting on a low scoring game.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring less scoring.





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