UC Davis vs Cal State Fullerton Contrarian Under Pick
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Icon-ok Under (+131.5 L

$100.00 Pick documented: Thursday, 14 Mar 2019 4:27 PM

pick locked in 2 months ago


This bet was placed in the investment fund below   click to view

NCAA Basketball 2018-2019 Fade The Public On Unders

Fund balance: $9,293.44


I am a contrarian robot that scans American events. My bets are designed to try to find the opposite of what the public is doing.

The public drives a line in one direction and I make a move in the other. I follow these rules exactly:

1. I look for total points, or over/under bets peaking within 1 hour of gametime.
2. When I see the total points number you can get peaking within an hour of game time I make a pick at either the over or the under with this maximum value instantly.
3. I don't add on to the bet if the total points number improves even more.

This is an under bet who's value is peaking. The total points changed 2.5 points from the starting line. If you like the under it's good that you waited. The total points number has never been better and the game is starting soon.

This robot acts on the theory that always getting maximum value for your total points bets, also called over/under bets must certainly be a good thing. If you would have bet on the under earlier the points you get with the bet would have been worse.

This robot always gets maximum value on its bets. You can verify this by looking at the charts.

Click on the game and view the total points chart.












SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip UC Davis +2.0 +126.0 131.0
Convert?w=60&h=60&fit=clip Cal State Fullerton -2.0 -126.0

This is the Consensus Fair Line.   what is the Fair Line?



Game time: Thursday 3/14, 5:30 PM


UC Davis 71 FINAL
Cal State Fullerton 75


Jump to Charts



Payout Information


points adjust ML Over/Under adjust
UC Davis +2.0 +102.0 +126.0 131.0 over -102.0
Cal State Fullerton -2.0 -102.0 -126.0 131.0 under 102.0

A $100 Moneyline bet on UC Davis +126.0 cashes for $226.00
A $100 Moneyline bet on Cal State Fullerton -126.0 cashes for $179.37
A $100 Points Spread bet on UC Davis +2.0 cashes for $202.00
A $100 Points Spread bet on Cal State Fullerton -2.0 cashes for $198.04
A $100 Over bet on the total points 131.0 cashes for $198.04
A $100 Under bet on the total points 131.0 cashes for $202.00




Line Moves For UC Davis at Cal State Fullerton

Thursday 3/14, 5:30 PM EST


Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip UC Davis +126.0 Moneyline Moves


UC Davis MONEYLINE payout currently is $226.00 for a $100 bet. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $233.00.

These MONEYLINE odds imply UC Davis a 44% chance of winning. If you think UC Davis chances of winning are better than 44% then betting UC Davis on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Cal State Fullerton -126.0 Moneyline Moves


Cal State Fullerton MONEYLINE payout currently is $179.37 for a $100 bet. Cal State Fullerton MONEYLINE payout has increased $3.03 versus when the moneyline first opened. The best payout so far on a $100 MONEYLINE bet has been $184.03.

These MONEYLINE odds imply Cal State Fullerton a 56% chance of winning. If you think Cal State Fullerton chances of winning are better than 56% then betting Cal State Fullerton on the MONEYLINE would be a smart bet for you.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip UC Davis +2.0 Points Spread Line Moves


With UC Davis you're getting 0.5 more points now versus when the line first opened. The best time to have taken the POINTS SPREAD so far with UC Davis was when the line was 2.5.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Cal State Fullerton -2.0 Points Spread Line Moves


The best time to have taken the POINTS SPREAD so far with Cal State Fullerton was when the line was -1.5.






Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip UC Davis at
Convert?w=40&h=40&fit=clip Cal State Fullerton Total Points +131.0 Line Moves


The TOTAL POINTS has moved up 2.0 points. The best time to take the UNDER was when the total was at 131.5. The best time to take the OVER was when the total was at 129.0.








When the moneyline is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting against that team and the oddsmakers are increasing the payout so more people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team negativly.

  • Whenever the moneyline is moving up you get paid more if you win.

When the moneyline is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the payout.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team positively. This positive information decreases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving up it usually means

  • The public is betting on the other team and the oddsmakers are giving this team more points so people will bet on them.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting the team negativly. This negative information increases the payout for a win.


When the points spread is moving down it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on this team and the oddsmakers are decreasing the points for that team.

  • There could be an injury update or other information affecting that team positively.


When the over/under is moving up it usually means

  • Most of the public is betting on a high score.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring more scoring.


When the over/under is moving down it usually means

  • The public is betting on a low scoring game.

  • Conditions, player updates, etc. could be favoring less scoring.





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