Hi, I’m MB, the owner of the site Underdogchance,
an entrepreneur, professional investor in sports and family guy.

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Sports-betting-investment-funds

Fund Manager

South Division
$10,280.96




AGREE 154K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Washington Nationals (-193.0) at Atlanta Braves (+193.0) over +8.5

Game time: Tuesday 9/19, 7:35 PM

Washington Nationals 2 TOP 3RD
Atlanta Braves 0  view game

Atlanta Braves moneyline (+188.0) @ $2000.00

$2,000.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 19 Sep 2017 2:39 PM

pick locked in about 6 hours ago

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Pick

Max Scherzer and Gohara played the same game one week ago. Atlanta beat Washington by 8-2 and they scored 7 runs against him. That was second loss for him this season in last three games against Atlanta. Atlanta hitters have some solid numbers against him in 2017.
 
Gohara on the other side is a new pitcher, who didn't pitch much this season. He lost one game against Texas and he won that one...

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AGREE 122K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


New York Mets (+122.0) at Miami Marlins (-122.0) over +9.5

Game time: Tuesday 9/19, 7:10 PM

New York Mets 1 TOP 5TH
Miami Marlins 1  view game

New York Mets moneyline (+129.0) @ $2000.00

$2,000.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 19 Sep 2017 2:39 PM

pick locked in about 6 hours ago

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Pick

Miami and the Mets will start second game after huge win yesterday by Miami. They beat Mets by 13-1 and they made 19 hits, which is great.
 
Today I think we can see little bit different picture. Mets will start with Lugo (6-5 to the season), who has ERA of 5.29 and if we focus only on this numbers (which is wrong), Lugo doesn't look good. But he is 3-0 against Miami in his career (2017 and...

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AGREE 188K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Los Angeles Dodgers (-150.0) at Philadelphia Phillies (+150.0) over +7.5

Game time: Tuesday 9/19, 7:35 PM

Los Angeles Dodgers 1 BOT 3RD
Philadelphia Phillies 0  view game

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline (+158.0) @ $2000.00

$2,000.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 19 Sep 2017 2:14 PM

pick locked in about 6 hours ago

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Los Angeles Dodgers lost yesterday against Philadelphia with Kershaw on the mound. They are in playoffs and if we check their results, they are not playing well. In last 20 games, they won only 5 of them.

Philadelphia on the other side is a young team, they are playing for themselves and are showing some solid effort recently (10-10 in lat 20 games).

Philadelphia will start with Nola,...

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AGREE 182K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Oakland Athletics (+202.0) at Boston Red Sox (-202.0) over +10.5

Game time: Thursday 9/14, 1:35 PM

Oakland Athletics 2 FINAL
Boston Red Sox 6  view game

Oakland Athletics moneyline (+200.0) L

$3,000.00 Pick documented: Thursday, 14 Sep 2017 11:44 AM

pick locked in 5 days ago

Oakland Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Pick

Bookmakers line: +194 (2.94)
My Projected lines (math model): +104 (2.04)
Oakland is underrated again. They beat Boston yesterday and they are playing maybe the best baseball this season. In last 7 games they score 7.4 runs per game and they won 6 out of last 7 games.
They will start with Gossett, who never faced Boston and this is usually advantage for pitcher. He is also coming to this...

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AGREE 190K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Los Angeles Dodgers (-203.0) at San Francisco Giants (+203.0) over +8.5

Game time: Wednesday 9/13,10:15 PM

Los Angeles Dodgers 4 FINAL
San Francisco Giants 1  view game

San Francisco Giants moneyline (+204.0) L

$2,000.00 Pick documented: Wednesday, 13 Sep 2017 3:28 PM

pick locked in 6 days ago

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Pick

* Bookmakers line: +200 (3.00)
* My Projected lines (math model): +141 (2.41)
What a game yesterday. San Francisco showed great effort against Kershaw and the Dodgers and they even had more hits, than their big rivalry. And we all know, that in those games anything can happen. Dodgers versus Giants is one of the biggest rivalries in MLB and Giants will have another chance today.
Matt Moore...

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AGREE 164K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Oakland Athletics (+175.0) at Boston Red Sox (-175.0) over +10.5

Game time: Wednesday 9/13, 7:10 PM

Oakland Athletics 7 FINAL
Boston Red Sox 3  view game

Oakland Athletics moneyline (+176.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $5520.00

$2,000.00 Pick documented: Wednesday, 13 Sep 2017 3:09 PM

pick locked in 6 days ago

Oakland Athletics vs Boston Red Sox Pick

* Bookmakers line: +176 (2.76)
* My Projected lines (math model): +109 (2.09)
Oakland Athletics lost yesterday by 11-1 and this is the only loss in last 6 games. They are playing really good, especialy offensively. They score more than 7 runs per game in last seven games and this is way above league average.
They will start with Cotton, who is 4-4 on the road with ERA 3.81 and has never...

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AGREE 145K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Philadelphia Phillies (+157.0) at Washington Nationals (-157.0) over +9.0

Game time: Saturday 9/9, 7:05 PM

Philadelphia Phillies 5 FINAL
Washington Nationals 4  view game

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline (+161.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $7830.00

$3,000.00 Pick documented: Saturday, 09 Sep 2017 1:54 PM

pick locked in 10 days ago

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pick

PHILADELPHIA

* Bookmakers line: +163 (2.63)
* My Projected lines (math model): +109 (2.09)
That was a very exciting game yesterday between Philadelphia and Washington. 11-10 at the end and Philadelphia almost came back after they were trailing almost whole game.
Philadelphia is playing pretty well right now. Their season is over, but they have couple of talented players, who hit pretty...

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AGREE 116K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Minnesota Twins (+100.0) at Kansas City Royals (+100.0) over +9.0

Game time: Saturday 9/9, 7:15 PM

Minnesota Twins 2 FINAL
Kansas City Royals 5  view game

Kansas City Royals moneyline (+107.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $6210.00

$3,000.00 Pick documented: Saturday, 09 Sep 2017 1:54 PM

pick locked in 10 days ago

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Pick

Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins are fighting for playoffs and despite Kansas has losing record (69-71), they still have more than realistic chances to reach wild card. And this game is one of those, that they must win.

I don’t like to bet based on such things like “must win”, because most profitable betting for me is analytics, that I use, but sometimes I use also mu gut to make...

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AGREE 1.94K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Houston Astros (-186.0) at Oakland Athletics (+186.0) over +9.5

Game time: Saturday 9/9, 7:35 PM

Houston Astros 1 FINAL
Oakland Athletics 11  view game

Oakland Athletics moneyline (+172.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $2720.00

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Saturday, 09 Sep 2017 1:53 PM

pick locked in 10 days ago




AGREE 1.87K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Houston Astros (-157.0) at Oakland Athletics (+157.0) over +9.5

Game time: Saturday 9/9, 4:05 PM

Houston Astros 1 FINAL
Oakland Athletics 11  view game

Oakland Athletics moneyline (+160.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $2600.00

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Saturday, 09 Sep 2017 1:53 PM

pick locked in 10 days ago




AGREE 1.93K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Houston Astros (-161.0) at Oakland Athletics (+161.0) over +9.5

Game time: Friday 9/8,10:05 PM

Houston Astros 8 FINAL
Oakland Athletics 9  view game

Oakland Athletics moneyline (+159.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $1295.00

$500.00 Pick documented: Friday, 08 Sep 2017 6:49 PM

pick locked in 11 days ago




AGREE 140K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Cincinnati Reds (-101.0) at New York Mets (+101.0) over +8.5

Game time: Friday 9/8, 7:10 PM

Cincinnati Reds 1 FINAL
New York Mets 5  view game

New York Mets moneyline (+101.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $2010.00

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Friday, 08 Sep 2017 6:48 PM

pick locked in 11 days ago

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Pick

Bookmakers line: -105 (1.95)
My Projected lines (math model): -100 (2.00)
I think the odds are pretty fair, but this pick is more gut play for me than anything else. Cincinnati and NY Mets are out of the playoffs this season and they will just play for their fans until the end of the season. I expect, that Cincinnati will play much better at home, where they score a lot of runs in a hitters...

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AGREE 118K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Baltimore Orioles (+146.0) at Cleveland Indians (-146.0) over +9.0

Game time: Friday 9/8, 7:10 PM

Baltimore Orioles 0 FINAL
Cleveland Indians 5  view game

Cleveland Indians moneyline (-146.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $1684.93

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Friday, 08 Sep 2017 6:48 PM

pick locked in 11 days ago

Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Indians Pick

Bookmakers line: -155 (1.65)
My Projected lines (math model): -184 (1.54)
Cleveland Indians just won 14 straight games. This is one of the most impressive streaks that I have seen. They are red hot and of course, there will be a lot of speculations, when this streak will end and so on…. but I don’t want to be distracted by this. I will just keep analysing the games and try to find the value....

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AGREE 142K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Pittsburgh Pirates (+178.0) at St. Louis Cardinals (-178.0) over +8.0

Game time: Friday 9/8, 8:15 PM

Pittsburgh Pirates 1 FINAL
St. Louis Cardinals 4  view game

St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $2190.00

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Friday, 08 Sep 2017 6:47 PM

pick locked in 11 days ago

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals Pick

Bookmakers line: -190 (2.20)
My Projected lines (math model): -282 (1.36)
Pittsburgh is going to face St Louis who will start with Luke Weaver. Weaver has been outstanding this season and holds the record of 4-1 in 5 games. But even more impressive than his record is that he struck out 42 batters in 31 innings. If he would struck out one more batter in the last game against San Francisco, he...

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AGREE 135K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Tampa Bay Rays (+119.0) at Boston Red Sox (-119.0) over +8.5

Game time: Friday 9/8, 7:10 PM

Tampa Bay Rays 3 FINAL
Boston Red Sox 9  view game

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline (+119.0) L

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Friday, 08 Sep 2017 6:46 PM

pick locked in 11 days ago

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Pick

TAMPA BAY (Archer)
Bookmakers line: +120 (2.20)
My Projected lines (math model): -126 (1.79)
Tampa Bay Rays are playing for the playoffs and the Boston leads AL League East. So we can expect really good game. Tampa Bay will go with Chris Archer, who is 2-11 in his career against Boston, but he beat Boston in both games this season.
I rank Archer higher than Pomeranz on the other side and I...

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AGREE 125K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Detroit Tigers (+189.0) at Toronto Blue Jays (-189.0) over +8.5

Game time: Friday 9/8, 7:05 PM

Detroit Tigers 5 FINAL
Toronto Blue Jays 4  view game

Detroit Tigers moneyline (+189.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $2890.00

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Friday, 08 Sep 2017 6:46 PM

pick locked in 11 days ago

Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick

DETROIT (Farmer) +300
Bookmakers line: +200 (3.00)
My Projected lines (math model): +126 (2.26)
We have two teams with losing record and basically season for both teams is over. Detroit lost 8 of last 11 games and this is the same record for Toronto too.
Detroit will start with Farmer, who is 3-2 to the season and the only two wins he collected on the road, where he posted ERA of 2.25.
On...

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AGREE 130K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Philadelphia Phillies (+309.0) at Washington Nationals (-309.0) over +8.0

Game time: Friday 9/8, 7:05 PM

Philadelphia Phillies 10 FINAL
Washington Nationals 11  view game

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline (+309.0) L

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Friday, 08 Sep 2017 6:45 PM

pick locked in 11 days ago

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pick

PHILADELPHIA (Thompson) +318
Bookmakers line: +318 (4.18)
My Projected lines (math model): +199 (2.99)
Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals will play the second game today and when we loot at yesterday’s game it was a close one (again) for Philadelphia. They are playing pretty good right now. Their season is over, but a lot of talented young players want to show what they got.
In...

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AGREE 88.1K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Philadelphia Phillies (+134.0) at Washington Nationals (-134.0) over +8.0

Game time: Thursday 9/7, 7:05 PM

Philadelphia Phillies 3 FINAL
Washington Nationals 4  view game

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline (+149.0) L

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Thursday, 07 Sep 2017 3:42 PM

pick locked in 12 days ago

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Pick

Bookmakers line: +147 (2.47)
My Projected lines (math model): +111 (2.11)
Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals will play the first game of the series. Two things are for sure here: public will be with Washington and bookmakers have Washington as a pure favourite.
But I also projected my winning percentages for this game and my fair odds would be 2.11 for Philadelphia and 1.90 for...

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AGREE 157K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Kansas City Chiefs (+8.0) at New England Patriots (-8.0) over +47.5

Game time: Thursday 9/7, 8:30 PM

Kansas City Chiefs 42 FINAL
New England Patriots 27  view game

Under (+47.5) L

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Thursday, 07 Sep 2017 3:32 PM

pick locked in 12 days ago

Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots Pick

I just started with my NFL betting challenge this season to see if I can make a profit in this sport. I am not that familiar with NFL, but more than profit for me is important to create simple predictive model, that anyone can use for NFL and to project the lines to get the first picture about games.

I just use the numbers from last season and on one side we have 40-year old Tom Brady, who...

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AGREE 138K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Toronto Blue Jays (+171.0) at Boston Red Sox (-171.0) over +9.5

Game time: Wednesday 9/6, 7:10 PM

Toronto Blue Jays 1 FINAL
Boston Red Sox 6  view game

Boston Red Sox moneyline (-155.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $1645.16

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Wednesday, 06 Sep 2017 11:56 AM

pick locked in 13 days ago

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Pick

Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox played a long game yesterday, when Red Sox beat them at the end, but both teams also used a lot of relievers (Toronto 6, Boston 11) and it will be interesting to see those two teams today after such a marathon yesterday.

However, bookmakers opened Toronto as a huge underdog here. You can find them at the price of 2.50 or even more. With my betting model,...

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AGREE 118K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Kansas City Royals (-117.0) at Detroit Tigers (+117.0) over +9.5

Game time: Tuesday 9/5, 7:10 PM

Kansas City Royals 2 FINAL
Detroit Tigers 13  view game

Detroit Tigers moneyline (+123.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $2230.00

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 05 Sep 2017 4:25 PM

pick locked in 14 days ago

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers Pick

Miguel Cabrera is suspended, but still Detroit Tigers even without him are a good team against left handed pitchers. This is one of the situations, when it is worth considering to take Detroit. They have winning record against lefties this season (19-18) and if we check their overall record is pretty bad (58-79). I expect little bit more from this team.
But yes, they are good against lefties...

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AGREE 141K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Minnesota Twins (+135.0) at Tampa Bay Rays (-135.0) over +9.0

Game time: Tuesday 9/5, 7:10 PM

Minnesota Twins 1 FINAL
Tampa Bay Rays 2  view game

Minnesota Twins moneyline (+135.0) L

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 05 Sep 2017 4:02 PM

pick locked in 14 days ago

Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick

My Projected Lines and the odds
Minnesota Twins are fighting for a wild card and they are just behind the Yankees. And if we look at their results, they were the best team in August and they are playing really well. They lost 3 of last 4 games, but two of those losses were by only 1 run. Bookmakers set Minnesota as an underdog here, but I think this could be close match and I even think, that...

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AGREE 108K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Milwaukee Brewers (-124.0) at Cincinnati Reds (+124.0) over +9.5

Game time: Tuesday 9/5, 7:10 PM

Milwaukee Brewers 3 FINAL
Cincinnati Reds 9  view game

Cincinnati Reds moneyline (+127.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $2270.00

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 05 Sep 2017 3:40 PM

pick locked in 14 days ago

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Pick

My Projected Lines and the odds
Cincinnati and Milwaukee will play the second game today and it looks like the public will be with Milwaukee and the bookmakers have Cincinnati Reds as underdog of around 2.25 and we can find them at 2.30 too. Milwaukee is motivated here, because they need wins, but this doesn’t mean that they will win for sure. My betting model has Cincinnati at 57.59% and I...

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AGREE 736 DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Chicago Cubs (-154.0) at Pittsburgh Pirates (+154.0) over +8.5

Game time: Tuesday 9/5, 7:05 PM

Chicago Cubs 3 FINAL
Pittsburgh Pirates 4  view game

Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline (+167.0) WIN WIN WIN Ticket Cashes $2670.00

$1,000.00 Pick documented: Tuesday, 05 Sep 2017 3:40 PM

pick locked in 14 days ago




AGREE 115K DISAGREE



Fire
Vote Hot


Texas Rangers (+100.0) at Atlanta Braves (+100.0) over +9.5

Game time: Monday 9/4, 7:35 PM

Texas Rangers 8 FINAL
Atlanta Braves 2  view game

Atlanta Braves moneyline (+100.0) L

$2,000.00 Pick documented: Monday, 04 Sep 2017 11:54 AM

pick locked in 15 days ago

Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves Pick

Atlanta and Texas will play game one in Atlanta and the bookmakers have opened the odds for each team having 50% of chance to win this game.

I have projected, that Atlanta should have better chance to win this game. My projected win% on Atlanta is 57.78% and on Texas 42.22%. My projected odds on Atlanta are 1.73 and with the odds 1.96 I have small value with the Braves.

Atlanta will...

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